Permalink of this method: https://www.universalforesight.com/uf-methods-bank/11299

SMIC Scenarios

Nature of the method: Semi-Quantitative

SMIC involves quantification of the contingencies that bring about the scenario.

Probabilistic analysis is established via expert opinion in order to build a system which evaluates the likelihood of occurrence of certain events.

Knowledge sources

Creativity

Expertise

Evidence

Interaction

Contribution to the SMART foresight process

Scoping (Designing and planning)

Mobilisation (Engaging stakeholders)

Anticipation (Exploring posible futures)

Recommendation (Formulating sound advice)

Transformation (Enabling action and decision-making)

CRITICAL ISSUES RELATED TO THIS METHOD:

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