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China’s National Technology Foresight Program

In order to support a new round of research and preparation of the national medium and long-term science and technology development plan, the Ministry of science and technology has decided to carry out the sixth National Technology Foresight Program. It highlights the combination of forward-looking guidance and demand-oriented, expert participation and multi-party collaboration, field foresight and cross research, and foresight research and planning. The key work includes technology competition evaluation, major science and technology demand analysis, science and technology frontier trend analysis, field technology Delphi survey, critical technology selection and so on.

http://www.most.gov.cn/kjbgz/201902/t20190220_145126.htm

Related sector

  • C - Manufacturing
  • D - Electricity, gas, steam and air conditioning supply
  • J - Information and communication

Lead organisation

Ministry of Science and Technology of China - CASTED - Government actor (Departments, Agencies, etc.) ( National / Federal body )

www.casted.org.cn

Geographical scope

China

Top foresight methods

  • Delphi Surveys
  • Key/Critical technologies
  • Workshops
  • Visioning / Vision building
  • Bibliometrics

Application Area

  • Science and Research Policy - Supporting new round of research and preparation of the national medium and long-term science and technology development plan.
  • Technology Development -

Objectives

  • To directly support the compilation of the national medium and long-term scientific and technological development plan
  • To grasp the general trend of science and technology and industrial change.
  • To focus on the major needs of national development, and make clear the vision and task of science and technology development.
  • To find out China’s position in the global innovation capatilities.
  • To promote the role of experts in various fields and form a wide participation mechanism for the scientific and technological circles.

Origin

In the late 1990s, international economic competition grew fiercer and it had already become an important task for governments to greatly support the industrial technology, promote the development of emerging industries characterized by high technology, and strengthen the international competitiveness of industries. To launch technology foresight and focus on the development of key fields and key technologies had already become an important policy approach of developed countries and emerging industrialized countries. In order to concentrate on the development of industrial technologies, especially new and high technologies, promote the technological innovation, strengthen China’s S&T competitiveness and industrial competitiveness, improve China’s comprehensive national strength substantially, the MOST decided to implement the national technology foresight and key technology selection, and started to conduct the ’technology foresight of national key fields’ research in 1977.

Critical Issues from assessment: