Permalink of this case: https://www.universalforesight.com/ufo/cases/11353

The Road to Zero

The Road to Zero Coalition of 1000+ member organizations is chaired by the National Safety Council in the U.S. The membership ranges from auto manufacturer organizations, insurers, civil society groups, advocacy organizations to professional associations and one-issue lobbies. They sought to find a path whereby the number of annual U.S. traffic deaths in 2050 could be brought to zero. RAND Corporation framed, designed and conducted a participatory foresight exercise as the principal means for achieving the desired goal. It consisted of a phased series of workshops over six months to assist the Coalition in framing a specific course of action pathway while accounting for uncertainties and potential surprises. The result was adopted by the Coalition as their principle mission statement and tool for policy engagement.

https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR2333.html

Related sector

  • H - Transporting and storage
  • O - Public administration and defence; compulsory social security
  • Q - Human health and social work activities

Lead organisation

National Safety Council (U.S.) - Research and education actor ( Public research organisations (non-HEI) )

https://www.nsc.org/

Geographical scope

United States of America

Top foresight methods

  • Workshops
  • Visioning / Vision building
  • Backcasting
  • Action Roadmapping
  • Technology Roadmapping
  • Multi-Criteria Analysis
  • Scenarios
  • Pathways/Transitions Analysis
  • Robust Advice Framing
  • Horizon Scanning

Application Area

  • Wicked-Problems/Moonshots - Traffic deaths in the U.S., after going down for three decades, are rising again and approaching 40,000 once more -- from the wrong direction. The goal of the initiative is to find a credible pathway to zero deaths within three decades. Transportation is the archetypal wicked problem in that it quite literally connects everything to everything. There are many centers of authoritative expertise but no one (or even small number) of responsible actors.
  • Technology Development - A major goal is to inculcate a safety culture which does not see humans at fault but rather poor design choices and insufficient technological support. Autonomous vehicles are potentially a milestone as well as various V2X (vehicle to everything communications, monitoring and control systems.)

Critical Issues from assessment: